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227368
Sat, 02/11/2012 - 09:05
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https://www.oananews.org//node/227368
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Global Share Market Likely To Remain Up Despite Greek Worries, Says Economist
By Tengku Noor Shamsiah Tengku Abdullah
SINGAPORE, Feb 11 (Bernama) -- The global share market is likely to remain
up despite the Greek worries, says AMP Capital Investors Ltd head of investment
strategy and chief economist, Dr Shane Oliver.
He said shares are vulnerable to a short-term pullback after strong gains so
far this year, and this may now be occurring on the back of Greek worries.
"However, the broader trend is likely to remain up.
"Valuations are attractive, particularly against very low bond yields, the
risk of a Euro-zone meltdown has receded, momentum in global economic indicators
has turned positive, global monetary conditions are easing and there's lots of
cash on the sidelines," he told Bernama on Saturday.
He said share markets fell late in the week, as positive news regarding a
Greek deal on its second bailout package was replaced by fears that it was
unravelling.
He pointed that the past week globally was dominated by the ongoing soap
opera regarding whether Greece would agree to the terms required by the troika
of the International Monetary Fund, European Union and European Central Bank for
its next bailout package, including the 14.5 billion euros (US$19.13 billion) it
needs to avoid defaulting on a bond payment on March 20.
Oliver said the second Greek bailout was still more likely than not
because both sides have too much too loose if an agreement is not reached.
On what to watch this week, Oliver said US January retail sales and
industrial production would show further gains, home builders and small
businesses would show continued recovery, housing starts and permits would rise
and inflation would be reasonably benign.
-- BERNAMA