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163746
Thu, 02/24/2011 - 11:54
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Militant rhetoric will not save Gaddafi, says British thinktank

London, Feb 24, IRNA – The brutal response adopted by the Libyan army to the protests in the country will not help its leader Muammar Gaddafi, according to Moeen Yaseen, managing director of the UK-based thinktank Global Vision 2000.

“The militant megalomaniac rhetoric of his speech on Libyan TV won't save him. As a tyrannical dictator he rules via the politics of fear. He is facing a popular revolt demanding freedom, justice and equality,” Yaseen warned.

“By resorting to exclusive military force he is adding fuel to fire which will only serve to stiffen the protestors resolve for regime change,” he said in an interview with IRNA.

Underlining the strategic importance of the latest uprising in the Arab world, his analysis was that “if Gaddafi's regime falls as he is seen as a strongman it will open the floodgates to others watching that change is possible everywhere in the Middle East.”

Yaseen said that the Libyan leader was resorting to play off tribal fears internally and use Islamic fears externally to buy time.

“He is appealing on financial grounds to intimidate tribes to continue supporting him as otherwise they would lose their share of oil wealth in the country by separating into statelets,” he told IRNA.

“It is also clear that he has been using oil wealth to have a fall back strategy of using mercenaries to stay in power if his army revolts. This partially explains the violence being unleashed.”

He believed that the “fear of Islam coming to power” is for foreign western consumption to continue to support him but said that it does “not seem to be working for him as he is being accused of crimes against humanity and war crimes.”

On the implications for Britain, Yaseen said that policy under former prime minister Tony Blair was “dependent on the Gaddafi dictatorial regime surviving” but believed that the oil deals struck will need to be re-negotiated with a change in the regime.

“This will also backfire on Blair's position as the Middle East peace envoy which has been shred of any remaining credibility and he needs to resign immediately,” he said./end

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