ID :
54295
Tue, 04/07/2009 - 16:33
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Shortlink :
https://www.oananews.org//node/54295
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SURVEY: DEMOCRATIC PARTY, PDIP, GOLKAR HAVE CHANCE TO WIN ELECTIONS
Jakarta, April 7 (ANTARA) - The Democratic Party (PD), the Indonesian Democratic Party-Struggle (PDIP) and Golkar Party have a chance to become the winner of the April 9 legislative elections, according to a survey.
The survey was done on April 5, 2009 on 1,200 respondents in the country's 33 provinces with a margin of error of 2.9 percent, said Denny JA, executive director of Lingkaran Survey Indonesia (LSI), a noted polling institute, here Tuesday.
He said in the survey each of the three parties won the support of more than 12 percent of the respondents.
"The support the three big parties gained in the survey far exceeded that for other parties which could only reach the middle rank," he said.
In the LSI survey only eight to eleven political parties won the support of more than 2.5 percent of the respondents, namely, the Democratic Party, PDIP, the Porsperous Justice Party (PKS), the United Development Party (PPP), the National Mandate Party (PAN), the Nation's Awakening Party (PKB), Gerindra Party and Hanura Party.
The survey also showed that 27 to 30 of the smaller parties would fail to win enough votes to pass the parliamentary threshold as in the survey they were each supported by less than 2.5 percent of the respondents.
However, he said, some 21 percent of the respondents had not yet decided which party they supported.
Denny said there were four variables that determined a party's chances to win the 2009 general elections, namely, the party image, mobilization of legislative candidates in every electoral area, ability to reduce the number of abstainers in constituent bases and ability to carry out a massive direct cash assistance program.
According to the survey result, he said, the number of parties to be represented in the parliament in the 2009-2014 period would drastically drop compared to that in the 2004-2009 period.
In 2004, 16 political parties had representatives in the parliament but this year the figure was predicted to reach only 8 - 11 as in the survey only this number of parties was supported by at least 2.5 percent of the respondents, Denny said.
The survey was done on April 5, 2009 on 1,200 respondents in the country's 33 provinces with a margin of error of 2.9 percent, said Denny JA, executive director of Lingkaran Survey Indonesia (LSI), a noted polling institute, here Tuesday.
He said in the survey each of the three parties won the support of more than 12 percent of the respondents.
"The support the three big parties gained in the survey far exceeded that for other parties which could only reach the middle rank," he said.
In the LSI survey only eight to eleven political parties won the support of more than 2.5 percent of the respondents, namely, the Democratic Party, PDIP, the Porsperous Justice Party (PKS), the United Development Party (PPP), the National Mandate Party (PAN), the Nation's Awakening Party (PKB), Gerindra Party and Hanura Party.
The survey also showed that 27 to 30 of the smaller parties would fail to win enough votes to pass the parliamentary threshold as in the survey they were each supported by less than 2.5 percent of the respondents.
However, he said, some 21 percent of the respondents had not yet decided which party they supported.
Denny said there were four variables that determined a party's chances to win the 2009 general elections, namely, the party image, mobilization of legislative candidates in every electoral area, ability to reduce the number of abstainers in constituent bases and ability to carry out a massive direct cash assistance program.
According to the survey result, he said, the number of parties to be represented in the parliament in the 2009-2014 period would drastically drop compared to that in the 2004-2009 period.
In 2004, 16 political parties had representatives in the parliament but this year the figure was predicted to reach only 8 - 11 as in the survey only this number of parties was supported by at least 2.5 percent of the respondents, Denny said.
